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July 20, 2018ANALYSIS OF NOVA SCOTIA'S CONSUMER PRICE INDEX FOR JUNE 2018 In Nova Scotia June 2018, year over year growth for the All-Items Consumer Price Index was 2.2 per cent, below the national average of 2.5 per cent. Monthly consumer prices were up 0.1 per cent in Nova Scotia and nationally.
Within Atlantic Canada, PEI had the highest year over year consumer price inflation (+2.9 per cent), followed by Newfoundland and Labrador (+2.3 %)and then Nova Scotia and New Brunswick (both +2.2%).
In June 2018, all provinces experienced positive year over year inflation.
Nova Scotia's annual consumer price inflation (year over year growth in CPI) excluding food and energy rose 1.4 per cent in June, below the national rate of 1.8 per cent. Price level gains for this index were largest in BC (+2.4%) and Saskatchewan (+1.9%) and lowest in Newfoundland and Labrador (+0.9 per cent). On a monthly basis, Nova Scotia's index excluding food and energy was up 0.2 per cent.
The main contributors to the monthly (June 2018 vs. May 2018) NS CPI movement:
Fresh or Frozen Pork (+19.0%)
Traveller Accommodation (+10.9%)
Gasoline (-3.8%)
Fresh or frozen beef (-4.5%)
The main contributors to the annual (June 2018 vs. June 2017) NS CPI movement:
Gasoline (+20.0%)
Fuel oil and other fuels (+17.4%)
Furniture (-7.0%)
Telephone services (-9.3%)
The CPI for food in Nova Scotia decreased 1.1 per cent year-over-year with a 0.2 per cent increase month-over-month. CPI growth in food (year over year) was up in seven provinces. Nationally, annual food prices increased 1.4 per cent.
The Nova Scotia energy index increased by 13.2 per cent compared to a year ago, upwardly influenced by gasoline and other fuels. Energy price growth was smallest in Ontario (+8.6%) on a year over year basis, and largest in Alberta (+21.1%). Nationally, the index was up 12.4 per cent.
Major Components for June 2018
The following table shows the price increases specific to Nova Scotia for the major components of the CPI this month:
Long Run Trends
The All-Items CPI year over year inflation rate for Nova Scotia was below Canada's in June 2018. Nova Scotia's annual inflation has remained below the Canadian average since mid-2014, with the exception of only a few months. It has, however, been above the Canadian average for the past four months. While month to month movements in the indices can be different, over time they generally follow the same overall trend.
Annual inflation for the CPI excluding food and energy was lower for Nova Scotia (+1.8 per cent) than for Canada (+1.4 per cent).
Bank of Canada's preferred measures of core inflation
Compared with June 2017, CPI-Median and CPI-Trim both rose 2.0 per cent and CPI-Common rose 1.9 per cent in Canada. All-items CPI excluding eight of the most volatile components as defined by the Bank of Canada and excluding the effect of changes in indirect taxes (formerly referred to as CPIX) rose 1.3 per cent year over year in June 2018.
Appendix Tables and Charts
Source: Statistics Canada data portal: Tables 18-10-0004-01 and 18-10-0256-01
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