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Thomas StorringDirector – Economics and Statistics
Tel: 902-424-2410Email: thomas.storring@novascotia.ca

September 06, 2018
BUILDING PERMITS, JULY 2018

In July, the value of building permits issued in Nova Scotia increased 36.0 per cent, following a (revised) decrease of 17.4 per cent in June. Non-residential building permits increased 45.1 per cent and residential permits increased 31.4 per cent . Monthly results for building permits are highly volatile; the six-month moving average of residential permits trended modestly upwards through 2017 and then declined into early 2018.  In recent months, the downward trend in residential permits has reversed somewhat.  The non-residential permits' six-month moving average has remained flat since mid-2017.

The trend in Nova Scotia building permit values largely reflects the trends in the Halifax market. In July, the value of Halifax building permits increased by 97.9 per cent, reflecting increases in both non-residential (+123.2 per cent) and residential (+87.9 per cent) permits. The six-month moving average for residential permits in Halifax rose from mid-2016 through 2017 but had been declining since the end of 2017. Non-residential permits in Halifax have trended down since last June.

Outside the Halifax market, building permit values were down 13.4 per cent in July, reflecting a 19.4 per cent decrease in residential permits and a 3.0 per cent decrease in non-residential permits.

In the first seven months of 2018, the value of Nova Scotia building permits was down 12.2 per cent compared to the same period in 2017.  Residential permits are 13.4 per cent lower than the first seven months of 2017, and non-residential permits are 9.7 per cent lower.  The decline in non-residential building permits reflects declines in commercial (-8.7 per cent) and institutional and governmental (-67.9 per cent) permits, partially offset by a 66.1 per cent increase in industrial permits.  Halifax building permits were down 18.7 per cent over January to July 2017, while building permits declined outside of Halifax by 1.4 per cent.

Nova Scotia's five economic regions combined for a total of $192.6 million (unadjusted) in residential and non-residential building permits in July 2018. The largest contributor was the Halifax region, at a combined residential and non-residential permit value of $119.5 million. 

So far in 2018, building permits (unadjusted) among the economic regions totaled $700.2 million, of which 77.1 per cent was in Halifax economic region. 

In the first seven months of 2018, the number of residential dwelling-units created in Nova Scotia was down 433 units over the same period in 2017.  In Halifax, both singles and multiples created were down on a year-to-date basis.  Outside of Halifax, singles and multiples were both up.

Nationally, residential building permit values were on an upward trend in 2016 but have levelled off since early 2017. Residential building permits decreased 0.1 per cent in July. Non-residential building permit values had been trending upward in 2017 after declining through 2015 and 2016 and have recently peaked. Non-residential building permits increased 0.2 per cent in July.

Comparing the first seven months of 2018 with the same period in 2017, Prince Edward Island had the largest gains (+19.6 per cent) in residential permits, in percentage terms. Saskatchewan posted the largest decline (-25.5 per cent) over this period.

Year-to-date, Newfoundland and Labrador had the largest gains in non-residential building permits (+103.3 per cent) while New Brunswick reported the largest decline (-26.2 per cent).

Total building permits were up in five provinces in the first seven months of 2018, with Newfoundland and Labrador (+31.8 per cent) and Quebec (+16.4 per cent) reporting the largest gains (in percentage terms). Saskatchewan reported the largest decline over this period (-15.8 per cent) followed by New Brunswick (+15.3 per cent).

Sources: Statistics Canada Table 34-10-0066-01



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