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For additional information relating to this article, please contact:

Thomas StorringDirector – Economics and Statistics
Tel: 902-424-2410Email: thomas.storring@novascotia.ca

September 30, 2019
UK GDP Q2 2019 (SECOND ESTIMATE)

In their second estimate, the Office for National Statistics reports for UK Gross Domestic Product in Q2 2019 an unrevised seasonally adjusted annualized growth rate of -0.8 per cent, compared to growth of 2.4 per cent in the first quarter. Offsetting revisions to quarterly data left annual GDP growth unrevised for 2018, while 2019 Q1 growth was revised upward. Compared to the second quarter of 2018, the UK economy has grown by 1.3 per cent.

Negative growth in the quarter was largely driven by a contraction in the production sector with a notable decline in manufacturing output. The decline in manufacturing was reflected in the UK Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), which dropped for the third month in a row in June 2019, due to factors such as high stock levels and ongoing Brexit uncertainty. Mining and quarrying production was down in Q2 2019, driven by scheduled maintenance in a number of oil and gas fields. Construction output was down in the second quarter on declines in repair and maintenance work. Services sector output provided the only positive contribution to GDP growth in Q2 2019. Wholesale, retail and motor trades slowed to a revised 0.1 per cent growth following a revised 1.1 per cent increase in the first quarter, with growth in all three sectors weakening compared to the first three months of the year.

 

 

 Office for National Statistics



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